Updated Long Range Forecast for the Southwest Monsoon Seasonal Rainfall during June–September, 2026 and Monthly Rainfall and Temperature Outlook for June 2026

• IMD's second-stage (updated) Long Range Forecast (LRF) for the Southwest Monsoon (SWM) June–September 2026, issued on 29 May 2026 by the Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES).
• Forecast pegs all-India seasonal rainfall at 90% of LPA (±4%) — a "below normal" category — revised downward from the first-stage April forecast of 92% of LPA (±5%).
• Issued using the Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) system built around IMD's Monsoon Mission Climate Forecasting System (MMCFS).
• Critical for UPSC: links macro-economy (kharif sowing, food inflation, reservoir storage), climate science (ENSO/IOD), and disaster management (heatwave/drought policy).