·The Hindu·15 marks·250–350 wordsGeographyEconomyIR

Chokepoints such as Hormuz are the Achilles' heel of India's energy security. Discuss, with a strategy for diversification.

In this answer
  1. Why chokepoints are the weak point
  2. But the exposure is manageable, not fatal
  3. Strategy for diversification

The Strait of Hormuz alone carries nearly 34% of global crude trade and 19% of LNG trade [1], while India imports about 88% of its crude [2]. India's vulnerability therefore lies less in its wells than in a handful of narrow sea lanes.

Why chokepoints are the weak point

  • Price shock transmission: the 2026 Hormuz disruption cut global oil supply by 10.1 mb/d in March and lifted Brent about 65% [3] — feeding imported inflation, fertiliser and LPG costs, and a wider current account deficit.
  • No bypass for gas: pipelines carry only oil; a fifth of world LNG trade must physically transit Hormuz [1].
  • Blocked legal remedy: the Gulf States' UNSC draft to safeguard Hormuz shipping was vetoed by China and Russia [4], leaving freedom of navigation without enforcement.
  • Thin buffer: strategic reserves of 5.33 MMT at Visakhapatnam, Mangaluru and Padur cover only about 9.5 days of crude need, against the 90-day norm recommended in 2006 [5].

But the exposure is manageable, not fatal

  • The 5th Inter-Ministerial Group of Ministers on West Asia confirmed 60 days of crude, 60 days of gas and 45 days of LPG rolling stock, with no product shortage [6].
  • Bypass routes exist — the Habshan–Fujairah pipeline to the Gulf of Oman and Saudi Arabia's East–West pipeline, which retain spare capacity [1] — though the Red Sea exit reintroduces Bab el-Mandeb risk.

Strategy for diversification

  • Sources: expand non-Gulf crude (Americas, West Africa) and long-term LNG contracts outside West Asia.
  • Routes: prefer Fujairah-loaded cargo; keep Chabahar and the INSTC operational as non-Hormuz corridors.
  • Storage: complete Phase-II reserves at Chandikhol and Padur on PPP mode [5], filling counter-cyclically when prices are low.
  • Demand-side: ethanol blending, city gas, EVs and green hydrogen to shrink the import base.
  • Monitoring: use IMF PortWatch [7] for real-time chokepoint tracking and IEA-coordinated emergency response.

Energy security is ultimately route security. A layered approach — deeper reserves, diversified suppliers, alternative corridors and falling oil intensity — converts a chokepoint from an Achilles' heel into a managed risk, advancing both India's growth and its SDG-7 commitment to affordable, secure energy.

Sources

  1. 1IEA, Strait of Hormuz — Oil Security and Emergency Response34% of global crude and 19% of LNG trade transit share; Habshan–Fujairah and East–West pipeline spare capacity
  2. 2PIB, "India's Growth Linked to Energy and Maritime Strength" (Minister of Petroleum & Natural Gas)India imports about 88% of its crude oil
  3. 3World Bank, "Strait of Hormuz disruption sends oil prices surging"10.1 mb/d supply loss in March 2026 and ~65% Brent price rise
  4. 4UN Meetings Coverage, "China, Russian Federation Veto Security Council Draft Resolution by Gulf States to Safeguard International Shipping through Strait of Hormuz"UNSC veto on Hormuz shipping draft
  5. 5PIB, Strategic Petroleum Reserve Programme5.33 MMT Phase-I capacity (~9.5 days), 90-day expert committee norm, Phase-II at Chandikhol and Padur
  6. 6PIB, Key takeaways of 5th IGoM on West Asia60 days crude, 60 days gas, 45 days LPG rolling stock
  7. 7IMF PortWatchreal-time tracking of chokepoint disruption and transit volumes
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