·The Hindu·15 marks·250–350 words

Critically examine how the US-led Global War on Terror altered the regional balance of power in West Asia, with special reference to Iran's rise.

In this answer
  1. What the GWOT did achieve
  2. How the balance tilted towards Iran
  3. The critical costs
  4. Culmination by 2026

The US declared the Global War on Terror (GWOT) after 9/11 to dismantle terror networks and hostile regimes. Yet in removing the Taliban (2001) and Saddam Hussein (2003) — Iran's two principal adversaries — it also dismantled the structures containing Tehran, making Iran the war's chief strategic beneficiary.

What the GWOT did achieve

  • Al-Qaeda's Afghan sanctuary was destroyed and its core leadership degraded.
  • A Ba'athist dictatorship was replaced by an elected, Shia-majority government in Iraq.
  • Expanded US basing deepened security partnerships with Gulf monarchies.

How the balance tilted towards Iran

  • Saddam's fall removed Iran's main regional adversary and produced Baghdad governments led by Shia Islamists seeking positive relations with Tehran [1].
  • Iran acquired "strategic depth" — significant leverage inside Iraq plus a contiguous corridor sustaining proxies in Syria, Lebanon and Yemen [1].
  • The invasion upended the prevailing Gulf security balance, Iran being its main beneficiary in Riyadh's own assessment [2].

The critical costs

  • Sectarian collapse in Iraq birthed al-Qaeda in Iraq, which mutated into ISIS — a counter-terror war that manufactured a deadlier terror actor.
  • An entrenched Iran–Saudi proxy contest militarised the region's politics [2].
  • Nuclear restraint eroded: by 2023 the Security Council was told Iran's enriched-uranium stockpile exceeded 20 times the JCPOA cap [3].

Culmination by 2026

  • Proxy rivalry became direct state confrontation — joint US-Israel strikes on Iran from 28 February 2026, with the Secretary-General warning of a chain of events "no one can control" [4].
  • Hostilities spread across nearly a dozen states, disrupting Gulf airspace and shipping — directly touching India's energy security and diaspora interests [5].

The GWOT therefore succeeded tactically against terror networks but faltered strategically, converting a contained Iran into West Asia's pivotal power. Durable stability now demands a renewed non-proliferation framework and an inclusive regional security architecture rather than regime change — consistent with the UN Charter's emphasis on peaceful settlement and with India's balanced West Asia engagement.

Sources

  1. 1Iran's Foreign and Defense Policies — Congressional Research Service, R44017removal of Saddam in 2003 enabled Iran's expansion of influence; "strategic depth" and proxy network
  2. 2Iraq: Regional Perspectives and U.S. Policy — Congressional Research Service, RL337932003 invasion upended the Gulf security balance; Iran as main beneficiary; Iran–Saudi sectarian competition
  3. 3Negotiations Stall While Iran's Uranium Stockpiles Increase — UN Security Council, SC/15344 (2023)enriched-uranium stockpile over 20 times the JCPOA limit
  4. 4Iran Strikes Could Trigger Wider Conflict in Middle East, Secretary-General Warns — UN Security Council, SC/16307 (2026)28 February 2026 US-Israel strikes; Guterres' warning of an uncontrollable chain of events
  5. 5MIDDLE EAST LIVE: Strikes continue from US, Israel and Iran as UN urges restraint — UN News (2026)spread of conflict across the region, airspace closures and regional instability

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