·The Hindu·15 marks·250–350 words

"Great-power stabilisation does not necessarily mean the end of great-power rivalry." Discuss with reference to recent US-China engagement.

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In this answer
  1. Signs of stabilisation
  2. Why rivalry persists
  3. Implications for India

Great-power stabilisation means managing competition so that it does not turn into crisis. It does not mean reconciliation. Recent US-China engagement shows the two running together. Both sides seek "a constructive relationship of strategic stability" while the contest over technology, resources and Taiwan carries on [1].

Signs of stabilisation

  • Frequent summits: Trump and Xi are due to meet at the G20 in Miami at year-end. The report calls this an unusual four meetings in a year [1].
  • Stated intent: both capitals openly aim for greater strategic stability [1].
  • Wider talks: Trump has signalled a possible meeting with Putin and Xi. Practical outcomes could centre on stabilising global energy [1].
  • Overlapping crisis agenda: the US prioritises the Russia-Ukraine conflict and non-proliferation, and China supports peace talks [1].

Why rivalry persists

  • Technology: semiconductor restrictions remain in place, so chips stay a tool of strategic leverage [1].
  • Trade and resources: tariffs and rare earths are still contested, and supply chains stay weaponised [1].
  • Sovereignty: Taiwan remains a core irritant that dialogue alone cannot settle [1].
  • Status contest: Chinese analysts played down Trump's "G2" remarks in Beijing. Beijing is wary of a US-defined power-sharing frame [1].
  • Divergent priorities: Russia is the "most enthusiastic" about a trilateral. Scholar Su Liuqiang expects only an informal, low-profile exchange, while China balances ties with the US, Russia, Europe and Ukraine [1].
  • Legitimacy limits: there is strong opposition to deals that bypass Ukraine and Europe, so big-power understandings cannot settle conflicts on their own [1].

Implications for India

  • A US-China-Russia understanding could narrow India's room to deal with each power separately. Strategic autonomy therefore becomes more important.
  • Calmer energy markets would help India as an energy-importing economy [1]. However, continued chip and rare-earth contests mean continued supply risk.

Overall, US-China ties show managed rivalry: guardrails at the top and competition underneath. Stabilisation lowers the risk of conflict but leaves the structural contest in place. India should diversify its semiconductor and critical-mineral supply chains, deepen multi-alignment and push for inclusive peace processes that follow the UN Charter's principle of sovereignty. Stabilisation is a floor under rivalry, not an end to it.

Sources

  1. 1"Meeting with Putin, Xi likely next week: Trump", The Hindu, 10 November 2026, Chennai edition, p. 16(domain root: a search could not confirm the exact article page). Supports: the four Trump-Xi meetings and the G20 in Miami; "constructive relationship of strategic stability"; tariffs, semiconductors, rare earths and Taiwan as friction points; the "G2" remarks; each side's priorities on Ukraine and non-proliferation; Su Liuqiang's assessment; energy stabilisation; and opposition to bypassing Ukraine and Europe.

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