·The Hindu

India-U.S. ties and the hurdle of American unilateralism

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In this note
  1. At a Glance
  2. Why in the News
  3. Background & Evolution
  4. Core Static Facts
  5. Multi-Dimensional Analysis
  6. Recent Developments (last 12–18 months)
  7. Prelims Hooks
  8. Why India Has Less Bargaining Power Than the Trade Surplus Suggests
  9. The Case That This Is Not Aimed at India — and Where It Falls Short
  10. What 'Drawing the Line' Can Actually Mean in Practice
  11. Anchors for Answers
  12. Mains Relevance
  13. Related Topics to Study Next
  14. NCERT Concepts to Revise
  15. Common Errors / Trap Areas

1. At a Glance

  • Core issue: India–U.S. ties are under strain because Washington is acting unilaterally on immigration, labour certification and trade, without negotiating with New Delhi. The op-ed's line is "Washington wants a subservient India, but New Delhi must draw the line." [1]
  • Immediate trigger: On October 8, the U.S. suspended the Permanent Labour Certification (PERM) programme for eight global IT companies, accusing them of misusing immigration and labour-certification systems. [1]
  • Pattern, not a one-off: The article places this in a series of U.S. actions in recent years, including ill-treatment of Indians and racist attacks against them. [1]
  • UPSC value: GS-II (effect of other countries' policies on India's interests, Indian diaspora) and GS-III (trade asymmetry, IT-services exports). It also tests strategic autonomy against a Comprehensive Global Strategic Partnership.

Sourcing caveat: Both permitted searches failed because the publisher domains are blocked for the search tool. No Tier 1, 2 or 3 page was retrieved. Facts tagged [1] come from the article excerpt. Facts tagged [2] are standard background knowledge that no whitelisted source retrieved here; check them against mea.gov.in / pib.gov.in before you rely on them.

2. Why in the News

  • 8 October 2026: The U.S. suspended PERM for 8 global IT firms. The Indian-named firms were Infosys, TCS, Wipro, Cognizant and HCL. [1]
  • U.S. government data says these companies got >2,30,000 H-1B approvals and >1,00,000 permanent labour certifications since 2009. [1]
  • 14 October 2026: The Hindu op-ed by Rajeev Agarwal (retired colonel, strategic affairs expert) asks whether ties have reached a "breaking point." [1]
  • Trade discord: India recorded a trade surplus of $33.8 billion in bilateral trade with the U.S. The article names trade as a visible source of "discord and asymmetry." [1]
  • Wider backdrop: The Hindu was running "Israel-US strikes on Iran" as a headline topic. That is the West Asia context India has to balance. [1]

3. Background & Evolution

  • 2005: India–U.S. Civil Nuclear framework (July 2005 joint statement). [2]
  • 2008: 123 Agreement, plus a waiver from the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) for India. [2]
  • 2016: The U.S. named India a Major Defence Partner. LEMOA was signed. [2]
  • 2018: COMCASA signed. India got STA-1 status. 2+2 Ministerial Dialogue began. [2]
  • 2019: The U.S. withdrew India's GSP benefits (June 2019). This is an early example of unilateral trade action. [2]
  • 2020: BECA signed. This completed the set of "foundational agreements." [2]
  • 2023: iCET (critical and emerging technologies) launched. GE–HAL jet engine understanding reached. [2]
  • 2025: Mission 500 set a target of $500 bn bilateral trade by 2030, and talks on a Bilateral Trade Agreement began. The U.S. later raised tariffs on Indian goods to a cumulative 50%, including a 25% "penalty" tied to India buying Russian oil. A proclamation imposed a $100,000 fee on new H-1B petitions. [2]
  • 2026: PERM suspension for IT majors. The op-ed reads it as part of a pattern of unilateralism. [1]

4. Core Static Facts

Item Fact
PERM Permanent Labour Certification. Lets firms hire non-U.S. professionals to work in the U.S. It is a step in the employer-sponsored green-card process. [1]
PERM administering body U.S. Department of Labor (not USCIS). [2]
H-1B Non-immigrant visa for specialty occupations. Petitions are adjudicated by USCIS (DHS). [2]
H-1B annual cap 65,000 regular + 20,000 for U.S. advanced-degree holders. [2]
Indian share of H-1B >70% of approved H-1B petitions every year. [1]
Firms hit by the suspension (Indian-named) Infosys, TCS, Wipro, Cognizant, HCL. [1]
Number of firms suspended 8 global IT companies. [1]
Volume since 2009 >2,30,000 H-1B approvals and >1,00,000 PERM certifications. [1]
India's trade surplus with the U.S. $33.8 bn. [1]
Relationship status Comprehensive Global Strategic Partnership (since 2020). [2]
Nodal Indian ministries MEA (diplomacy, diaspora); Ministry of Commerce & Industry (trade talks). [2]

5. Multi-Dimensional Analysis

Economic

  • Indian professionals take more than 70% of H-1B approvals, so restricting PERM or H-1B hits India's IT-services exports and remittances directly. [1]
  • The $33.8 bn surplus makes India a target for U.S. "reciprocity" measures. The article calls this trade asymmetry. [1]
  • Expect IT firms to lean further on offshoring and GCCs (Global Capability Centres) in India, and to hire more locally in the U.S. [2]

Geopolitical / Strategic

  • The op-ed frames U.S. conduct as wanting a "subservient India." This tests India's doctrine of strategic autonomy / multi-alignment. [1]
  • India has to balance the U.S. partnership against Russia (energy, defence), Iran (Chabahar) and West Asia, where the U.S. is in conflict with Iran. [1][2]
  • The Quad, iCET/TRUST and defence co-production give India leverage, but they also raise the cost of a rupture. [2]

Social / Diaspora

  • The article cites ill-treatment of Indians and racist attacks, which adds a diaspora-safety dimension. [1]
  • The green-card pipeline for Indian professionals faces longer waits and less certainty once PERM is suspended. [1]

Legal / Governance

  • The suspension is an executive (unilateral) action on grounds of "misuse." Firms' recourse is U.S. domestic law, not a bilateral mechanism. [1]
  • On tariffs, India can go through the WTO, but the Appellate Body has been non-functional since December 2019, which weakens multilateral remedies. [2]

Ethical

  • Two values pull against each other here: fair labour-market protection for U.S. workers versus non-discrimination and fair treatment of migrants.

6. Recent Developments (last 12–18 months)

  • 2025: The U.S. applied reciprocal tariffs plus a Russia-oil "penalty" tariff on India, bringing the cumulative rate to 50%. [2]
  • 2025 (September): U.S. proclamation imposed a $100,000 fee on new H-1B petitions. [2]
  • 2025–26: Bilateral Trade Agreement negotiations continued alongside the tariff friction. [2]
  • 8 October 2026: PERM suspended for 8 IT firms, including Infosys, TCS, Wipro, Cognizant and HCL. [1]
  • 14 October 2026: The Hindu op-ed argues New Delhi "must draw the line." [1]

7. Prelims Hooks

  • PERM = Permanent Labour Certification. It is a step in the employer-sponsored green card, not a visa itself. [1]
  • PERM is run by the U.S. Department of Labor. H-1B petitions are handled by USCIS. [2]
  • Indians receive more than 70% of approved H-1B petitions every year. [1]
  • The U.S. suspended PERM for 8 global IT companies on 8 October 2026. [1]
  • The suspended firms received >2.3 lakh H-1B approvals since 2009. [1]
  • India has a trade surplus ($33.8 bn) with the U.S., not a deficit. [1]
  • H-1B cap: 65,000 + 20,000 (master's exemption). [2]
  • The U.S. withdrew India's GSP benefits in June 2019. [2]
  • Foundational agreements in order: GSOMIA (2002) → LEMOA (2016) → COMCASA (2018) → BECA (2020). [2]
  • India–U.S. 123 Agreement: 2008. [2]
  • Mission 500: $500 bn bilateral trade target by 2030. [2]
  • The U.S. is India's largest export destination. [2]

8. Why India Has Less Bargaining Power Than the Trade Surplus Suggests

  • The surplus is a reason to be targeted, not a weapon
  • India sells the U.S. $33.8 bn more than it buys from it [1].
  • In the U.S. view, that gap means India gains more from the trade. So the U.S. feels free to put tariffs on India.
  • For India, the surplus means India stands to lose more if trade slows. That makes it hard to hit back with tariffs of its own.

  • India's main export to the U.S. is people with skills, and the U.S. alone decides the rules for them

  • Indians get more than 70% of approved H-1B petitions every year [1].
  • Visas and green-card steps like PERM are decided inside the U.S. system. India has no vote and no treaty right over them.
  • So when the U.S. suspends PERM for eight firms, there is nothing India can suspend in return of the same kind [1].

  • The firms that were hit depend heavily on this one channel

  • The suspended firms received more than 2,30,000 H-1B approvals and more than 1,00,000 PERM certifications since 2009 [1].
  • When so much of the business model runs through one country's visa rules, one executive order (a decision by the government alone, without a law passed by Congress) can hurt the whole model.

  • Trade talks are being used for issues that are not about trade

  • The U.S. pushed to bring India's Russian crude imports into the trade negotiations [6].
  • This is called linkage: using pressure in one area (tariffs) to get what you want in another (energy and foreign policy).
  • Every trade concession India makes can then be read as agreeing to U.S. foreign-policy demands. That is exactly the 'subservient India' fear in the op-ed [1].

9. The Case That This Is Not Aimed at India — and Where It Falls Short

  • The strongest counter-argument
  • The U.S. under its present government is acting unilaterally (alone, without negotiating) against almost everyone: allies, rivals and neighbours alike.
  • The PERM suspension is officially about misuse of the immigration and labour-certification systems by particular companies, not about India as a country [1].
  • One of the five firms named, Cognizant, is itself headquartered in the U.S.
  • On this reading, calling it a plan for a 'subservient India' turns a U.S. domestic-politics problem into an insult to India.

  • What the counter-argument gets right

  • Indian IT firms used the H-1B route at very large scale for over 15 years [1]. A U.S. government wanting to protect local jobs would look at them first, whoever was in power.
  • If India treats every U.S. action as an attack on its dignity, it may give up on a trade deal it still needs.

  • Where it falls short

  • The 25% 'penalty' tariff was aimed at India in particular, for buying Russian oil.
  • MEA pointed out that the U.S. and the EU themselves still import Russian goods, but only India was being targeted [3]. MEA called the criticism 'unjustified and unreasonable' [3].
  • When one country is punished for something others are allowed to do, the 'it's not about India' defence stops working.
  • The U.S. President also publicly claimed that India had promised to stop buying Russian oil. MEA said it was not aware of any such conversation [4]. Announcing what India had supposedly agreed to, before India said so, is the behaviour the op-ed objects to [1].

  • A fair verdict

  • The immigration action is mostly U.S. domestic politics that happens to fall hardest on Indians.
  • The oil-linked tariff is aimed directly at India's foreign-policy choices.
  • A good answer separates these two and does not treat them as one 'pattern'.

10. What 'Drawing the Line' Can Actually Mean in Practice

  • India has already shown one way to do it: say no in public, don't retaliate, keep talking
  • In 2025 MEA rejected the oil-linked tariff pressure in public and said India will 'take all necessary measures to safeguard its national interests' [3].
  • India did not put matching tariffs on U.S. goods, and trade talks continued [6].
  • The lesson: the line is drawn in words and on core interests (energy, foreign policy), not with a tariff war India would lose.

  • MEA: get energy from many suppliers so no single partner can use oil purchases to pressure India

  • MEA described India's energy policy as 'broad-basing and diversifying' its sources [4].
  • If no single supplier is essential, then neither Russia nor the U.S. can use oil to pressure India.
  • The cost: Russian oil was cheaper. Moving away from it means a higher import bill.

  • Industry and states: bring the work to India instead of sending workers to the U.S.

  • GCCs (Global Capability Centres) are offices that foreign companies set up in India to do their own technology, finance and research work.
  • The government expects about 2,400 GCCs employing more than 2.8 million people, worth about $105 bn, by 2030 [5].
  • The more work is done from India, the less a U.S. visa or PERM decision can hurt Indian workers.
  • The limit: most GCCs belong to foreign companies. India gains the jobs, but the profits and patents mostly go abroad.

  • Ministry of Commerce: keep oil and foreign policy out of the trade deal

  • The U.S. wants Russian oil to be part of the trade talks [6].
  • If India agrees to that once, every future trade deal will come with foreign-policy demands attached.
  • Holding this boundary is the practical meaning of strategic autonomy (India's freedom to choose its partners and policies on its own terms).

11. Anchors for Answers

  • Data: More than 70% of approved H-1B petitions go to Indians every year, which shows how exposed India is to U.S. visa decisions [1]
  • Data: India's $33.8 bn trade surplus with the U.S. is the economic reason the U.S. gives for 'reciprocal' tariffs [1]
  • Data: Government projection of about 2,400 GCCs, 2.8 million jobs and $105 bn by 2030, showing a shift from sending workers abroad to doing the work in India [5]
  • Comparison: The U.S. and the EU still import Russian goods but did not face an India-style penalty tariff, so the measure falls on India alone (MEA, August 2025) [3]
  • Scheme: GCC expansion is the industry and state-level answer to curbs on skilled-worker mobility [5]

12. Mains Relevance

13. Related Topics to Study Next

  • H-1B / L-1 visa regime and Totalization Agreement: directly shapes Indian IT mobility and social-security leakage.
  • India–U.S. trade talks (BTA) and Mission 500: the negotiation track that runs alongside the unilateral tariffs.
  • WTO dispute settlement crisis: explains why multilateral remedies are weak.
  • Quad and Indo-Pacific strategy: the strategic glue that offsets economic friction.
  • India–Russia energy and defence ties / CAATSA: the root of secondary tariffs and sanctions pressure.
  • Chabahar Port and U.S. sanctions on Iran: another case of U.S. unilateral measures colliding with Indian interests.
  • iCET → TRUST initiative: technology cooperation as a stabiliser.
  • Indian diaspora and remittances: the social and economic stake in U.S. immigration policy.

14. NCERT Concepts to Revise

  • Generalised System of Preferences (Economy): The 2019 US withdrawal of India's GSP benefits is the note's early example of unilateral American trade action.
  • Tariff (Economy): US tariffs of up to 50% on Indian goods are the main trade lever behind the unilateralism complaint.
  • Economic sanctions (Economy): Russia-oil penalties and Iran sanctions show how US coercion collides with India's own interests.
  • Indian diaspora (Geography): Indian professionals hold most H-1B visas, and racist attacks add a diaspora-safety concern.
  • Offshoring (Geography): Visa and PERM curbs push Indian IT firms toward doing more work from India instead.

15. Common Errors / Trap Areas

  • PERM vs H-1B: PERM is a green-card (permanent residency) step under the Department of Labor. H-1B is a temporary visa under USCIS. [1][2]
  • Cognizant's nationality: The article groups Cognizant with Indian firms, but Cognizant is U.S.-headquartered with most of its workforce in India. Do not call it "Indian-headquartered" in an MCQ. [1][2]
  • Surplus vs deficit: India runs a surplus with the U.S. Aspirants often invert this. [1]
  • Partnership label: It is the "Comprehensive Global Strategic Partnership" (2020), not just "Strategic Partnership." [2]
  • Foundational-agreement years: LEMOA is 2016, COMCASA 2018, BECA 2020. These are often mixed up. [2]

Sources

  1. 1"India-U.S. ties and the hurdle of American unilateralism" — Rajeev Agarwal, The Hindu, 14 Oct 2026, p.12 (Chennai)thehindu.com · tier 4
  2. 2Background knowledge, not retrieved from any whitelisted URL: both WebSearch queries failed (publisher domains blocked). Check against mea.gov.in (India–U.S. bilateral brief) and commerce.gov.in before relying on them
  3. 3'EU, US import Russian goods but target us': India defends oil purchasebusiness-standard.com · tier 4
  4. 4India casts doubt after Donald Trump claims its Russia oil buy to endbusiness-standard.com · tier 4
  5. 5From Policy to Prosperity: GCCs Leading India's Growth (PIB)pib.gov.in · tier 1
  6. 6US pushes to include India's Russian crude imports in trade negotiationsbusiness-standard.com · tier 4

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NCERT concepts in this note

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