Central Asia occupies a pivotal place in India's extended neighbourhood strategy. Analyse India's engagement with Uzbekistan in the context of connectivity, energy, and trade.
In this answer
Doubly-landlocked Uzbekistan, bordering every other Central Asian state, is the natural anchor of India's "extended neighbourhood". Prime Minister Modi's Tashkent visit of August 2026 — his fourth — ahead of the Bishkek SCO Summit [6], shows the relationship shifting from civilisational goodwill to a functional connectivity–energy–trade triad, though the three legs progress unevenly.
Connectivity: the binding constraint
- Denied overland transit through Pakistan, India routes cargo via Chabahar Port and the International North-South Transport Corridor, whose joint use Uzbekistan reaffirmed at the 4th India-Central Asia Dialogue (June 2025) [5].
- An India–Iran–Uzbekistan trilateral on Chabahar transit gives Tashkent sea access and India a Pakistan-bypassing corridor [5].
- Limitation: these routes remain hostage to sanctions risk on Iran and instability in Afghanistan, keeping freight volumes thin.
Energy: from hydrocarbons to atoms and minerals
- Cooperation is nuclear-led rather than pipeline-led: a long-term contract with Uzbekistan's Navoi Mining & Metallurgical Combinat covers supply of 1,100 MT of natural uranium ore concentrates (2022–2026) for India's IAEA-safeguarded reactors [4].
- Uzbek reserves of uranium and critical minerals align with India's clean-energy and supply-chain diversification needs [4].
- Limitation: absent an overland pipeline, gas trade is effectively foreclosed — energy ties are confined to what is shippable.
Trade and investment: high intent, low base
- Bilateral trade stands at roughly US$1.5 billion, with the Commerce Minister calling for it to double within three years at the India-Uzbekistan Business Forum (2026) [2].
- Institutional scaffolding exists — a Bilateral Investment Treaty signed at Tashkent [3] alongside lines of credit and a special strategic partnership [1].
- Growth sectors are pharmaceuticals, IT, textiles and food processing [2], yet India's share remains marginal against China's.
Thus connectivity is the bottleneck on which the energy and trade legs depend. Operationalising Chabahar-INSTC at scale, converting the BIT into actual investment flows, and widening uranium ties into a critical-minerals partnership would let India match its civilisational depth with commercial weight — turning the SCO platform into genuine strategic presence in Central Asia.
Sources
- 1MEA, Brief on India-Uzbekistan Bilateral Relations (January 2026)special strategic partnership, lines of credit, overall bilateral framework
- 2PIB, "Shri Piyush Goyal Invites Indian and Uzbek Businesses to Co-invest and Co-manufacture; Calls for Doubling Bilateral Trade at India-Uzbekistan Business Forum" (3 August 2026)~US$1.5 bn trade, doubling target, priority sectors
- 3PIB, "India and Republic of Uzbekistan sign Bilateral Investment Treaty in Tashkent"investment protection treaty
- 4PIB/Department of Atomic Energy, "Contract to Supply Uranium Ore Concentrates"1,100 MT uranium contract with NMMC, 2022–2026
- 5MEA, Joint Statement of the 4th India-Central Asia Dialogue (6 June 2025)Chabahar Port, INSTC and regional connectivity commitments
- 6The Hindu, "PM in Uzbekistan for 2-day visit ahead of SCO summit" (30 August 2026)August 2026 Tashkent visit preceding the Bishkek SCO Summit