·The Hindu·15 marks·250–350 wordsIR

Central Asia occupies a pivotal place in India's extended neighbourhood strategy. Analyse India's engagement with Uzbekistan in the context of connectivity, energy, and trade.

In this answer
  1. Connectivity: the binding constraint
  2. Energy: from hydrocarbons to atoms and minerals
  3. Trade and investment: high intent, low base

Doubly-landlocked Uzbekistan, bordering every other Central Asian state, is the natural anchor of India's "extended neighbourhood". Prime Minister Modi's Tashkent visit of August 2026 — his fourth — ahead of the Bishkek SCO Summit [6], shows the relationship shifting from civilisational goodwill to a functional connectivity–energy–trade triad, though the three legs progress unevenly.

Connectivity: the binding constraint

  • Denied overland transit through Pakistan, India routes cargo via Chabahar Port and the International North-South Transport Corridor, whose joint use Uzbekistan reaffirmed at the 4th India-Central Asia Dialogue (June 2025) [5].
  • An India–Iran–Uzbekistan trilateral on Chabahar transit gives Tashkent sea access and India a Pakistan-bypassing corridor [5].
  • Limitation: these routes remain hostage to sanctions risk on Iran and instability in Afghanistan, keeping freight volumes thin.

Energy: from hydrocarbons to atoms and minerals

  • Cooperation is nuclear-led rather than pipeline-led: a long-term contract with Uzbekistan's Navoi Mining & Metallurgical Combinat covers supply of 1,100 MT of natural uranium ore concentrates (2022–2026) for India's IAEA-safeguarded reactors [4].
  • Uzbek reserves of uranium and critical minerals align with India's clean-energy and supply-chain diversification needs [4].
  • Limitation: absent an overland pipeline, gas trade is effectively foreclosed — energy ties are confined to what is shippable.

Trade and investment: high intent, low base

  • Bilateral trade stands at roughly US$1.5 billion, with the Commerce Minister calling for it to double within three years at the India-Uzbekistan Business Forum (2026) [2].
  • Institutional scaffolding exists — a Bilateral Investment Treaty signed at Tashkent [3] alongside lines of credit and a special strategic partnership [1].
  • Growth sectors are pharmaceuticals, IT, textiles and food processing [2], yet India's share remains marginal against China's.

Thus connectivity is the bottleneck on which the energy and trade legs depend. Operationalising Chabahar-INSTC at scale, converting the BIT into actual investment flows, and widening uranium ties into a critical-minerals partnership would let India match its civilisational depth with commercial weight — turning the SCO platform into genuine strategic presence in Central Asia.

Sources

  1. 1MEA, Brief on India-Uzbekistan Bilateral Relations (January 2026)special strategic partnership, lines of credit, overall bilateral framework
  2. 2PIB, "Shri Piyush Goyal Invites Indian and Uzbek Businesses to Co-invest and Co-manufacture; Calls for Doubling Bilateral Trade at India-Uzbekistan Business Forum" (3 August 2026)~US$1.5 bn trade, doubling target, priority sectors
  3. 3PIB, "India and Republic of Uzbekistan sign Bilateral Investment Treaty in Tashkent"investment protection treaty
  4. 4PIB/Department of Atomic Energy, "Contract to Supply Uranium Ore Concentrates"1,100 MT uranium contract with NMMC, 2022–2026
  5. 5MEA, Joint Statement of the 4th India-Central Asia Dialogue (6 June 2025)Chabahar Port, INSTC and regional connectivity commitments
  6. 6The Hindu, "PM in Uzbekistan for 2-day visit ahead of SCO summit" (30 August 2026)August 2026 Tashkent visit preceding the Bishkek SCO Summit
Practice
12 questions on this article
Check the answer for each question, or reveal all at once.
Practice MCQs →

More from this note

More on IR