Gravity model of trade

Indian Economy glossary

Topic: International Trade Policy, WTO and Intellectual Property · NCERT: Beyond NCERT

Meaning

The gravity model says trade between two countries rises with their economic size (GDP) and falls with the distance between them. It works like Newton's law of gravity: big, close economies pull more trade towards each other. The model is useful as a benchmark. When actual trade falls well below its prediction, it points to hidden barriers.

Example

South Asia under-trades compared with what the model predicts. Trade within the region is only about 5% of its total trade. The causes are tariffs, non-tariff barriers, poor connectivity and India–Pakistan politics.

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