Natural rate of unemployment

Indian Economy glossary

Topic: Employment, Unemployment and Informalisation · NCERT: Beyond NCERT

Meaning

The natural rate of unemployment is the rate of unemployment that exists even when the economy is at full employment.

Natural rate = frictional + structural unemployment.

Frictional unemployment covers short spells while people search for or switch jobs. Structural unemployment comes from a mismatch of skills or location. In the long run the economy tends towards this rate (Friedman-Phelps). It is linked to NAIRU, the non-accelerating-inflation rate of unemployment. So full employment does not mean zero unemployment.

Example

Even in a booming economy, a graduate may spend a few weeks on the National Career Service portal looking for a job, and a handloom weaver displaced by powerlooms may need reskilling. Both still count as unemployed.

Don't confuse with

  • Cyclical unemployment: this is caused by weak demand in a recession and is not part of the natural rate.
  • Hysteresis: a long recession can raise the natural rate itself.

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