·The Hindu

As the COP 31 kicked off in Turkiye on Monday, a quiz on the annual gatherings which have delivered some landmark treaties to address the climate crisis

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In this note
  1. At a Glance
  2. Why in the News
  3. Background & Evolution
  4. Core Static Facts
  5. Multi-Dimensional Analysis
  6. Recent Developments (last 12–18 months)
  7. Prelims Hooks
  8. Why the Pledges Still Lead to 2.3–2.5°C, Not 1.5°C
  9. Was Moving From Kyoto's Binding Targets to Paris Pledges Worth It?
  10. Why the $300 Billion Finance Goal Satisfies Neither Side
  11. Why the Loss and Damage Fund Is Still Small
  12. What India Should Push For at COP31 and After
  13. Anchors for Answers
  14. Mains Relevance
  15. Related Topics to Study Next
  16. NCERT Concepts to Revise
  17. Common Errors / Trap Areas
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1. At a Glance

2. Why in the News

  • COP 31 began in Türkiye on Monday, 9 November 2026. The Hindu ran a quiz on landmark COP outcomes in its 13 November 2026 edition [1].
  • The quiz covered COP1 (1995), COP3 (1997), COP8, the Copenhagen Accord (COP15), COP21 (Paris) and COP27 (Egypt) [1].

3. Background & Evolution

  • Parent treaty: COPs are held under the UNFCCC [2].
  • Milestones in order:
  • COP1, Berlin (1995): Adopted the "Berlin Mandate". It began talks on "a protocol or another legal instrument" with stronger emission targets for developed countries [1][3].
  • Ad Hoc Group on the Berlin Mandate (AGBM): Drafted the text that became the Kyoto Protocol [3].
  • COP3, Kyoto (1997): Adopted the Kyoto Protocol. It sets legally binding emission-reduction targets for developed countries and economies in transition [1][2].
  • COP7, Marrakesh: The Marrakesh Accords set the detailed rules for running the Kyoto Protocol [2].
  • COP8: Stressed sustainable development and called for an informal exchange of information on climate action [1]. (The venue is the quiz answer. The retrieved sources do not confirm it, so check it against the UNFCCC COP list.)
  • COP15, Copenhagen (2009): After a long and bitter final plenary, the COP only "took note" of the Copenhagen Accord. It did not adopt it. The supporting countries, eventually more than 140, were listed on the document [2]. The Accord recognised a limit on global temperature rise [1].
  • COP19, Warsaw (2013): Set up the Warsaw International Mechanism (WIM) for Loss and Damage [4].
  • COP21, Paris: Adopted a legally binding treaty to limit temperature rise, the Paris Agreement [1]. Its goal is to keep warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels [5].
  • COP27, Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt (2022): Set up a dedicated Fund for responding to Loss and Damage [1][4].

4. Core Static Facts

COP Venue Key outcome
COP1 (1995) Berlin Berlin Mandate, which led to the AGBM [1][3]
COP3 (1997) Kyoto Kyoto Protocol, with binding targets for developed countries [1][2]
COP7 Marrakesh Marrakesh Accords (Kyoto rulebook) [2]
COP8 (quiz Q3) Sustainable development; informal information exchange [1]
COP15 (2009) Copenhagen Copenhagen Accord, "taken note of" and not adopted [2]
COP19 (2013) Warsaw Warsaw International Mechanism for Loss and Damage [4]
COP21 Paris Paris Agreement, a legally binding temperature goal [1][5]
COP27 Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt Loss and Damage Fund [1][4]
COP31 (2026) Türkiye Began on Monday, 9 November 2026 [1]
  • First Executive Director of the Loss and Damage Fund: Ibrahima Cheikh Diong, for a four-year term from 1 November 2024 [4].
  • Copenhagen Accord support: More than 140 countries were eventually listed on it [2].

5. Multi-Dimensional Analysis

Environmental

  • The temperature goal tightened over time. Copenhagen recognised a limit on warming [1]. Paris and COP27 then aimed for 1.5°C [5].
  • Climate policy moved from mitigation only (Kyoto's binding targets) towards also covering losses that adaptation cannot prevent (WIM, then the Loss and Damage Fund) [2][4].

Economic

  • The Loss and Damage Fund is the first dedicated finance channel for climate damage that cannot be avoided [4].
  • Finance remains the main point of dispute between developed and developing countries.

Geopolitical / Strategic

  • Kyoto bound only developed countries and economies in transition [1][2]. This reflects a split between developed and developing countries that the later Paris framework moved away from.
  • Copenhagen's failure to formally adopt its Accord shows the limits of consensus-based diplomacy [2].

Legal

  • The Kyoto Protocol is legally binding on developed-country targets [2].
  • The Copenhagen Accord was only "taken note of", so it has no formal legal status under the COP [2].
  • The Paris Agreement is a legally binding treaty [1].

Historical / Institutional

  • COPs work through mandates and subsidiary bodies. The Berlin Mandate led to the AGBM, which produced the Kyoto Protocol [3].
  • The Kyoto Protocol's rules were finalised four COPs later at Marrakesh [2].

6. Recent Developments (last 12–18 months)

  • 9 November 2026: COP31 began in Türkiye [1].
  • 1 November 2024: Ibrahima Cheikh Diong began his four-year term as the first Executive Director of the Loss and Damage Fund [4].

7. Prelims Hooks

  • COP1 was held in Berlin in 1995 and adopted the Berlin Mandate [1][3].
  • The Ad Hoc Group on the Berlin Mandate (AGBM) drafted the Kyoto Protocol [3].
  • The Kyoto Protocol was adopted at COP3 in 1997 [1].
  • Kyoto put legally binding emission targets on developed countries and economies in transition [1][2].
  • The Marrakesh Accords (COP7) set the rules for implementing Kyoto [2].
  • The Copenhagen Accord (COP15, 2009) was only "taken note of" and not adopted [2].
  • More than 140 countries eventually backed the Copenhagen Accord [2].
  • The Warsaw International Mechanism for Loss and Damage was created at COP19 (2013) [4].
  • The Loss and Damage Fund was set up at COP27, Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt [1][4].
  • The Fund's first Executive Director is Ibrahima Cheikh Diong, appointed for four years from 1 November 2024 [4].
  • The Paris Agreement (COP21) aims for warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels [5].
  • COP31 was hosted by Türkiye in November 2026 [1].

8. Why the Pledges Still Lead to 2.3–2.5°C, Not 1.5°C

  • Countries' promises do not add up to the Paris goal
  • Under Paris, each country writes its own target, called an NDC (Nationally Determined Contribution, a climate plan the country sets for itself).
  • UNEP's Emissions Gap Report 2025 says that if every NDC is fully carried out, the world still warms by about 2.3–2.5°C this century [6].
  • If countries only follow the policies they already have, warming could reach 2.8°C [6].

  • Much of the 'improvement' did not come from countries doing more

  • The warming estimate fell from 2.6–2.8°C in the previous report [6].
  • UNEP says 0.1°C of that fall comes from changes in how it calculates, not from real cuts [6].
  • The coming US exit from the Paris Agreement takes away another 0.1°C [6].
  • So, in UNEP's words, the new NDCs have "barely moved the needle" [6].

  • Many countries were late with their new plans

  • By 30 September 2025, only 60 Parties, covering 63% of greenhouse gas emissions, had submitted or announced new NDCs with 2035 targets [6].
  • The Global Stocktake can only compare plans that exist. Late plans make the review weaker.

9. Was Moving From Kyoto's Binding Targets to Paris Pledges Worth It?

  • The case for Paris-style pledges
  • Kyoto put binding targets only on developed countries and economies in transition [2].
  • Copenhagen tried to write a new deal and failed. The COP only "took note" of its Accord [2].
  • Paris got every country on board by letting each one set its own target. That is a real gain: big developing-country emitters are now inside the system.

  • What this argument gets right

  • Getting everyone to agree is a precondition for any global deal. Under consensus, any country that is pushed too hard can block the deal, as Copenhagen showed [2].

  • What it cannot answer

  • Universal participation has not produced enough ambition. Even fully carried out, the pledges lead to 2.3–2.5°C [6].
  • Exiting Paris has no penalty. The US withdrawal alone cancels about 0.1°C of the gains [6].
  • Honest verdict: Paris solved the problem of who takes part. It did not solve the problem of how much each country does.

10. Why the $300 Billion Finance Goal Satisfies Neither Side

  • What COP29 (Baku) agreed
  • The New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG), a new yearly climate-finance target, is at least $300 billion a year by 2035 for developing countries, with developed countries taking the lead [7].
  • A "Baku to Belém Roadmap" was launched to work towards $1.3 trillion [7].

  • The number does not say what kind of money counts

  • The goal does not say the money must be grants (money that is not paid back) or concessional loans (loans on easier terms than the market) [7].
  • So ordinary loans can be counted towards it.
  • A poor country hit by floods may then take on more debt to pay for climate action. That moves the cost back onto the victim.

  • Developing countries protested openly

  • India objected to the decision being adopted at Baku, saying it did not trust the process [8].
  • At COP30 in Belém, India, speaking for the LMDC (Like-Minded Developing Countries, a negotiating group), called the Baku figure a poor outcome. It accused developed countries of violating the Paris Agreement by lowering their financial support [9].

  • The fight has moved to COP31

  • Down To Earth reports that COP31 adopted a climate-finance work programme. Proposals on adaptation funding and on trade measures were dropped [10].
  • So the question of how much money goes to adaptation (adjusting to climate impacts) is still open.

11. Why the Loss and Damage Fund Is Still Small

  • A new fund with very little money in it
  • The Fund was made fully operational by Baku. But total pledges were only about $720 million [8].
  • Later reporting puts pledges at roughly $800 million. Totals vary by source and date [8].

  • The main finance goal leaves loss and damage out

  • Loss and damage was not included in the $300 billion NCQG [8].
  • So the Fund has no guaranteed share of the main climate-finance target. It depends on separate, one-off pledges.

  • The result

  • COP27 created a structure, with an Executive Director in office since November 2024 [4].
  • Without a fixed target, this structure cannot promise affected countries a predictable amount of money.

12. What India Should Push For at COP31 and After

  • India and the LMDC should demand a clear rule on what counts as climate finance
  • The $300 billion goal does not separate grants from loans [7].
  • India should press, inside the COP31 finance work programme [10], for reporting that counts grants and concessional money separately from market loans.
  • Then the $1.3 trillion Roadmap [7] could be measured against money that actually helps, not new debt.

  • India should use CBDR-RC as a tool, not just a slogan

  • CBDR-RC (Common But Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities) means rich countries, which polluted first, should do more and pay more.
  • India's Belém charge that rich nations are lowering support [9] is a CBDR-RC argument. It is stronger when backed by data on what was promised versus what was delivered.

  • India should argue for a fixed place for loss and damage

  • Loss and damage sits outside the NCQG [8].
  • India and other vulnerable countries can push for a separate share of finance for the Fund when the goal is next reviewed, so it is not left to voluntary pledges of about $720–800 million [8].

  • India also has to deliver its own NDC on time

  • UNEP's warning about late and weak NDCs applies to everyone [6].
  • A credible Indian plan gives India's demands for finance more weight in the negotiations.

13. Anchors for Answers

  • Data: Full implementation of current NDCs leads to about 2.3–2.5°C of warming; current policies lead to up to 2.8°C (UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025) [6]
  • Data: Only 60 Parties, covering 63% of emissions, had new 2035 NDCs by 30 September 2025 [6]
  • Data: NCQG of at least $300 billion a year by 2035, with a Baku to Belém Roadmap towards $1.3 trillion [7]
  • Data: Loss and Damage Fund pledges of only about $720–800 million [8]
  • Report/Committee: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025, "Off Target" [6]
  • Law/Case: Kyoto Protocol (binding targets for developed countries only) vs Paris Agreement (nationally set NDCs) [2][1]
  • Comparison: Kyoto bound a few countries to fixed cuts. Paris brought in every country with self-set pledges, but those pledges still lead to 2.3–2.5°C [2][6]

14. Mains Relevance

15. Related Topics to Study Next

  • The Paris Agreement and NDCs: The current framework that replaced Kyoto-style binding targets.
  • CBDR-RC (Common But Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities): The equity principle behind Kyoto's split between developed and developing countries.
  • Warsaw International Mechanism: The institution that came before the Loss and Damage Fund.
  • New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG), COP29: The latest climate-finance target.
  • Global Stocktake: The Paris Agreement's review cycle.
  • IPCC Assessment Reports: The science behind the 1.5°C and 2°C limits.
  • Montreal Protocol and the Kigali Amendment: A linked ozone/HFC treaty that is often confused with the climate COPs.

16. NCERT Concepts to Revise

17. Common Errors / Trap Areas

  • Berlin Mandate vs Kyoto Protocol: COP1 (Berlin) started the negotiations. The treaty itself came at COP3 (Kyoto) [3][1].
  • Copenhagen Accord status: The COP did not adopt it. It only "took note" of it [2].
  • 2°C vs 1.5°C: Copenhagen recognised a limit on temperature rise [1]. The Paris Agreement's goal is 1.5°C [5]. Do not mix up which outcome holds which figure.
  • WIM vs Loss and Damage Fund: The WIM came from Warsaw (COP19). The Fund came from Sharm el-Sheikh (COP27) [4].
  • Marrakesh Accords: These are the Kyoto implementation rules from COP7. They are separate from COP22, which was also held in Marrakesh [2].

Sources

  1. 1The Hindu, "As the COP 31 kicked off in Turkiye on Monday, a quiz on the annual gatherings…" (13 November 2026)thehindu.com · tier 4
  2. 2UNFCCC, History of the Conventionunfccc.int · tier 2
  3. 3UNFCCC, Berlin Mandateunfccc.int · tier 2
  4. 4UNFCCC, Fund for responding to Loss and Damageunfccc.int · tier 2
  5. 5UNFCCC, COP27/CMA4 decision (cma4_auv_8f)unfccc.int · tier 2
  6. 6UNEP, Emissions Gap Report 2025 / press release: New climate pledges only slightly lower dangerous global warming projectionsunep.org · tier 2
  7. 7Down To Earth, COP29 ends with $300 billion figure declaration, but is it public or private finance?downtoearth.org.in · tier 4
  8. 8Down To Earth, COP29: A summit of controversy, missed opportunities and flawed agreementsdowntoearth.org.in · tier 4
  9. 9Down To Earth, COP30: In Belem, India accuses developed countries of violating Paris Agreement, claims several rich nations are lowering financial supportdowntoearth.org.in · tier 4
  10. 10Down To Earth, COP31 adopts climate finance work programme; proposals for adaptation funding, trade measures droppeddowntoearth.org.in · tier 4
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