Assess the case for greater local-currency lending by the New Development Bank as an alternative to full de-dollarisation.
The New Development Bank (NDB), approved in 2014 to mobilise resources for infrastructure and sustainable development in BRICS and other emerging economies supplementing existing multilateral institutions [1], now targets 30% of total financing in local currencies under its General Strategy 2022–26 [2]. With India chairing the 18th BRICS Summit at New Delhi [3], this offers a pragmatic middle path.
The case in favour
- Currency-risk mitigation: borrowers repay in the currency their projects earn, insulating long-gestation infrastructure from dollar volatility and US monetary tightening.
- Corrective to the voice deficit: the IMF's 16th General Review raised quotas by 50% but left quota shares unchanged [4]; incremental financial innovation is more feasible than stalled Bretton Woods reform.
- Market deepening: local-currency bond issuance widens domestic debt markets and creates benchmark yield curves in member economies.
- Institutional fit: it stays within the NDB's stated supplementary mandate [1], distinct from the Contingent Reserve Arrangement, which handles short-term liquidity through currency swaps [1].
Limits to the case
- Shallow, thinly traded bond markets and limited capital-account convertibility (including the rupee) cap the achievable scale; hedging costs raise effective lending rates.
- Concentration risk: with the yuan the deepest BRICS currency and the NDB headquartered in Shanghai, gains may disproportionately strengthen Beijing's position.
- The Bank's ratings and market borrowing still rest on hard-currency credibility, constraining a rapid shift.
Why it beats full de-dollarisation
- Displacing the dollar requires a credible reserve currency, open capital accounts and deep liquidity — none presently available to BRICS, which lacks a single geopolitical identity.
- Local-currency lending is incremental, reversible and technical, aligning with India's "non-West, not anti-West" positioning and preserving ties with Western partners.
Local-currency lending is therefore the realistic ambition, not a lesser one. India should press for capital infusion, wider membership — Bangladesh and the UAE have already joined [1] — and guarantee instruments that de-risk such loans, making the NDB a credible SDG-financing partner rather than a currency battleground.
Sources
- 1Agreement on the New Development Bank and the BRICS Contingent Reserve Agreement — PIB, Cabinet approvalNDB mandate, supplementary role, CRA distinction, membership
- 2NDB General Strategy 2022–2026 — New Development Bank30% local-currency financing target
- 3BRICS Bharat Innovates Exposition, 18th BRICS Summit, Bharat Mandapam, New Delhi — PIBIndia's chairship and summit context
- 4IMF Board of Governors Approves Quota Increase Under 16th General Review of Quotas — IMF50% quota increase with quota shares left unchanged